Read the market
by probabilities
MirrorQuant fuses prediction-market microstructure, equity scoring across five investment frameworks, and live macro context — into one decision surface.
Win Rate (30D)
0%
30D PnL
+0%
Total Trades
0
Sharpe Ratio
0
Simulated / backtest figures for demonstration — not audited results, not investment advice.
// Today's market snapshot
Today's market snapshot
A single glance across prediction probabilities, equity heat, and the macro regime.
Risk-On
2026-06-24Tech leads the tape, breadth narrowing
Mega-cap semis carry the index again while equal-weight lags. Treasury 10Y eases 6bps after a soft auction. Prediction markets price a 36% chance the Fed cuts in May — 5pts above our AI's call.
NVDA
+2.4%
VIX
14.2
US10Y
4.38%
BTC
$102k
Prediction edge
Today's InsightMirrorQuant AI · v3
Two desks agreeing for once: AI sees the Fed slower than the market
Our model puts May FOMC cut at 36% vs Kalshi 31%. Stock radar tilts to defensive quality (Buffett & Serenity composites lead). Carry the signal into both books.
Read full AI recap →AI Daily Market Brief · 2026-07-07
Risk-on tone holds as AI leadership rotates into industrials
Prediction markets repriced the Fed cut path higher, AI breadth narrowed while industrials joined the bid, and macro vol continued to compress.
Prediction markets
Fed cuts ≥25bp by Sep: 71¢ (+4¢ 24h) — fastest mover on the board.
Stock heatmap shift
Industrials +1.8% lead the tape; CAT, DE, ETN breakout candidates.
Macro & events
10y yield -4bp to 4.18%; 2s10s steepens 3bp.
AI view
Model lean: tactically risk-on, hedge with long-duration treasuries.
// Four ways in
// Live wire
What's moving the tape
- +
Nvidia accelerates Blackwell shipments; cloud demand 'unprecedented'
Bloomberg · 13:02 · $NVDA
- −
Tesla cuts Model Y price in China again
Reuters · 12:48 · $TSLA
- +
Microsoft expands Copilot to small businesses worldwide
FT · 12:20 · $MSFT
- ·
Fed minutes hint at 'cautious patience' on rate cuts
WSJ · 11:55
- +
BTC reclaims $102k on spot ETF inflows ($284M)
CoinDesk · 11:30 · $BTC
// Products
Four engines, one decision surface.
Prediction Engine
Polymarket + Manifold + Kalshi + our own model — and the cross-venue arbitrage between them.
Open engine →Stock Intelligence Radar
Heatmap, hex cards, capital flow sankey — US equities scored across six factors and five frameworks.
Open radar →Macro Dashboard
Yield curve, VIX, DXY, BTC, Gold, SPX, and a live seesaw of cross-asset correlations.
Open macro →// Prediction snapshot
Hot markets right now.
Will BTC close above $105k by Q2 2026?
YES
62¢
Will the Fed cut rates at the May FOMC?
YES
31¢
Will SEC approve ETH ETF staking in 2026?
YES
48¢
US recession declared by NBER in 2026?
YES
24¢
Will SOL trade above $200 before Aug 1?
YES
55¢
S&P 500 closes above 6,000 by year-end?
YES
41¢
// Stock radar preview
Where capital and conviction agree.
// Macro snapshot
Today's regime, at a glance.
US 10Y
4.38%
-0.60%
VIX
14.20
-3.40%
DXY
104.8
+0.20%
BTC
$102,420
+1.80%
Gold
$2,418
+0.40%
SPX
5,860
+0.60%
// Why MirrorQuant
Built like an institutional desk. Priced like a tool.
Sub-Second Execution
Proprietary infrastructure colocated with Polymarket's CLOB. Median signal-to-fill latency under 220 ms — engineered for 5-minute market velocity.
Probabilistic Modeling
Bayesian inference computes real-time edge against the order book. Every position is sized by conviction, not by gut.
Transparent Risk
Embedded stop-loss logic, volume-weighted sizing, and full trade-level audit trail. Nothing happens off-screen.
Non-Custodial
MirrorQuant never touches your funds. Execution runs through scoped API keys — your wallet stays yours.
Expanding Coverage
Live today on Polymarket BTC 5M. ETH, macro events, and sports markets on the public roadmap for 2026.
Open Performance
Every trade by the simulated account is published live. No cherry-picked screenshots, no survivorship bias.
// Workflow
From signal to settled fill in under a second.
Ingest
Stream Polymarket order book + BTC tape.
Model
Bayesian engine computes edge in real time.
Execute
Scoped API places sized orders.
Audit
Every fill logged + published every 8h.
// Pricing
Choose your frequency.
Scaled for individual researchers and institutional funds.
Free
- ▸10 free views/day for guests
- ▸Watch ad +15 views (max 5/day)
- ▸Share on social +30 views/platform/day
- ▸10 pro views/day after sign-in
- ▸Watch ad +20 views when signed in (max 5/day)
- ▸Basic heatmap & stock pages
- ▸Basic AI daily brief
- ▸Basic prediction market odds
- ▸MyRadar · up to 20 watchlist items
Pro
- ▸🎁 First month 50% OFF → $24.5
- ▸Unlimited browsing · ad-free
- ▸AI stock assistant (natural language)
- ▸Multi-model scores · AI divergence
- ▸Earnings radar · real-time alerts
- ▸Arbitrage calculator · strategy backtests
Premium
- ▸🎁 First month 40% OFF → $47.4
- ▸Everything in Pro
- ▸1-click social cards & video scripts
- ▸1-click market summary & deep reports
- ▸Custom factors + batch backtesting
- ▸API access · unlimited local cache
// FAQ
Common questions.
Is MirrorQuant a custodial service?+
No. MirrorQuant never holds your funds. You connect via scoped Polymarket API keys; trades execute on your wallet directly.
What markets are supported today?+
Polymarket BTC 5-minute markets are live in production. ETH 5M and macro-event markets are next on the roadmap.
How is the live performance dashboard populated?+
It mirrors a real paper-trading account running the production strategy 24/7. Every fill is recorded and published every 8 hours.
Do you offer a free trial of Pro features?+
Yes — 14 days, no credit card required. You can monitor live execution and inspect every trade before committing.
See the engine run before you commit.
Every trade by our paper-trading account is published live. Inspect the system, then decide.
Open Live Engine →