// AI · Macro

Macro AI Diagnosis

Type a ticker — get three verdicts: cycle fit, factor impact, catalysts vs risks.

// ① Cycle Fit

Neutral

NVDA is a high-duration name; the current overheat regime (rising real rates) is a mild headwind, but AI capex tailwinds dominate short-term.

// ② Factor Impact on Earnings/Multiple

10Y Real Rate
-6.0%
CPI YoY
-3.0%
USD Index
+2.0%
Fed Cut Odds
+9.0%

// ③ Catalysts

  • July FOMC (cut edge +11%)
  • Q2 earnings — EPS revision +12%
  • Blackwell ramp channel checks

// ③ Risks

  • Sticky services CPI reprint
  • Export controls escalation
  • China revenue deceleration
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